423901-FS2023-0-Risk measures





Root number 423901
Semester FS2023
Type of course Lecture
Allocation to subject Statistics
Type of exam not defined
Title Risk measures
Description - Simple examples of random variables and their risks. Why are is
the expectation and the variance not adequate risk measures?
- Value-at-Risk, quantiles, main properties (with
proofs). Subadditivity of VaR for normal random vectors (proof),
violation of the subadditivity property in general.
- General monetary risk measures, acceptance sets, recovering the
risk measure from the acceptance set (proof).
- Coherent risk measures. Acceptance sets of coherent risk
measures (proof).
- Properties of risk measures defined on a finite probability space.
- Lower semicontinuity property of risk measures
(formulation). Definition of sigma(Lp,Lq)-topology.
- Representation of sigma(Lp,Lq)-lower semicontinuous
coherent risk measures (with the proof based on the bipolar
theorem).
- Convex risk measures. Representation of convex risk measures
(without proof). Penalty function. Entropic risk measure and its
penalty function (proof).
- Average Value-at-Risk, its special cases for alpha=0 and
alpha=1. Its expression as an expectation (proof).
- Representation of AVaR using supremum of
E mu (-X) (proof). Relations of AVaR to WCE and ES (proof).
- Law invariance, representation of convex law invariant risk
measures on Lp using the quantile functions (with proof using the
Hardy-Littlewood inequality) and on L infinity
using measures on (0,1] (proof).
- The minimal property of AVaR (without proof).
- Construction of risk measures using moments and loss functions.
- Distorted probability and the corresponding risk measure
(without proof).
- Non-additive measure, 2-alternating probabilities,
concavity of the corresponding distortion functions (proof that the
concavity of psi implies 2-alterantion).
- The Choquet integral and its basic properties, sublinearity
(proof that sublinearity implies 2-alternation).
- Characterisation of convex law invariant risk measures using the
penalised Choquet integral with respect to the distorted probability
(formulation).
- Comonotonic random variables, characterisation.
- Comonotonic additive risk measures, their coherency property,
and characterisation using the Choquet integral and as an integral
of AVaR.
ILIAS-Link (Learning resource for course) Registrations are transmitted from CTS to (no admission in ILIAS possible). ILIAS
Link to another web site
Lecturers PD Dr. Andrii IlienkoInstitute of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science 
ECTS 4
Recognition as optional course possible Yes
Grading 1 to 6
 
Dates Friday 10:15-13:00 Weekly
Friday 30/6/2023 10:00-11:30
 
Rooms Hörraum B078, Exakte Wissenschaften, ExWi
 
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